When it comes to my views on the future and technology, I am closer in beliefs to Kurzweil. Although I find some of his predictions a tad too farfetched, such retina computers, I do think that overall technology will benefit and advance mankind. Computers have been a vital asset for the last 50 years and, as Moore's Law has proven, have been quickly advancing. New research and technology will definitely extend our lifetimes and help us overcome problems. I think that advanced computer skills will help us end world hunger, slow global warming, and find cures for diseases. Just two or three years ago we didn't have a vaccine for cervical cancer, a common disease for women, but because of advanced technology we can save lives. Overall technology will benefit mankind, but some aspects of it, such as war technology can be harmful. Likewise the digital divide will impede some of the benefits of technology.
I think that Joy is wrong in the fact that computer are "endangering" mankind. Yes, computers do make life's tasks easier, they can only be as smart as the people who are programming them. His initial arguement, that machines will be able to make their own decisions, seems highly unlikely to me. I'm not an expert in computers or anything of that matter, but I can't see my laptop getting a mind of its own one day and then clamping my fingers off because it can control itself. I also disagree that people will become so reliant on computers. Because of ecomonic gaps, there will never come a time where everyone has the exact same access to advanced technology. I can definately see the entire population owning a computer, but it would be a simple machine with basic applications like a word processor. However, to become so reliant on a machine that "turning it off would mean suicide" would entail that society had some advanced and widespread technology. One of his points that I do agree with, however, is that advanced computers separate society into those who can and those who cannot understand them. His idea of an elite oligarchy of computer scientists is propable. He takes the idea to an extreme though and suggests that human beings will become like domesticated animals. Yes, a controling oligarchy of scientists could POTENTIALLY gain power, but Joy assumes that they are going to all be evil and use machines to control the masses. By his logic, because humans rely so much on medicine and doctors already, we should technically be pets for the medical industry. Again, I don't see this as very plausible.
When new technologies came out during the industrial revolution and the age of enlightenment, society was just as optomistic or as fearful as they are today. There are always going to be two sides of the issue. Industrial inventions like the steam powered engine caused tremendous growth in factories in areas that weren't near a water supply. It allowed for more jobs to be built because the water powered engine was obsolete. In this case, and I believe in most cases, technology helped society. At the same time, people are still afraid of growth in technology, especially warfare. I believe that many peole lost their faith in science after the A-bombs were dropped in Hiroshima and Nagasaki. Seeing technology destroy lives, rather than advance them, increased the fears and numbers of ludites.
Joys concerns over the growth of technology do hold some truth to them. But the bigger issue here isn't machines controlling society or humans living to be 1000, it's that there is still an enormous gap of people who can and cannot understand technology. This is the real problem that Joy and Kurzweil seem to be forgetting. Real advantages come from owning a computer, and disadvantages come from not owning one and not understanding one. Regardless of whether or not we have computers built into our retinas by 2009, there are always going to be a group of people who are significantly behind.
Overall I'm hopeful for new technology in the next 30 years but at the same time I'm afraid of a generation of people who are literally growing up in front of a computer. I'm also afraid of how this is going to affect the generation after mine. For example, technology has opened doors to some parts of human life I don't want to see, such as the execution of a world leader video taped on a cell phone and then posted on youtube. That is a disgusting abuse of technology. When society begins to accept these abuses, that is when we should be afraid -- not of technology itself but of the values we adopted.